Storm Team 10: Tropical storm warning posted ahead of Jose
Jose is just 1 of 3 storms in the Atlantic, but it's the one southern New Englanders are concerned with. Clouds will increase more and more as we move through Monday and they are all associated with Hurricane Jose. As the storm tracks north, the first impacts will come as early as Tuesday morning. Below, we'll describe the different concerns this system may bring to southern New England.
Timing: Starting Tuesday morning, rain moves in from south to north. At first, it will be light rain but the accumulation will pick up quickly. The hardest hitting rain will occur Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning. Steady rain continues through Wednesday as the storm dissipates into a Tropical Storm. The rain will taper off by Thursday morning.
Rain Accumulation: Models are in slightly disagreement but most will likely see 2-3" of accumulation between Tuesday and Thursday morning. Coastal locations will take the brunt of the rain with many receiving nearly 4" and some localized spots nearing 5". This will lead to flooding concerns and with the combination of high winds, power outages are likely.
Wind: Sustained winds will exceed 20mph with wind gusts of 40-50mph. The highest wind speeds will come for the immediately coastline and the Islands (Nantucket, Martha's Vineyard, and Block Island). Downed trees and electrical lines are possible so be prepared for outages.
High Surf: Waves heights will range by location. At the entrance of Narragansett Bay, 5-6ft swells are possible. The heights will diminish in the Bay, but still be abnormally high. For south facing beaches, 8-10ft waves are possible. That will cause beach erosion and spill-over flooding.
At this time, the track remains southeast of our region. That being said, if the path were to move 50-100 miles, the concern will either be enhanced or diminish. This forecast will be tweaked over the next 24-hours and you should keep with us on air and here on turnto10.com for the latest!
Meteorologist Zack Green