Florence update and potential impact locally
As Hurricane Florence moves closer to the North Carolina coast, forecast model guidance continues to review the storm's impact on many levels.
With a land-falling major hurricane the immediate concern is always centered on the storm surge, the potentially deadly push of water forced ashore as the storm moves in.
In this particular case the surge is expected to range from 2-13 feet across the Carolinas!
After landfall, which is forecast to be early Friday morning near Wilmington, NC, the storm will likely slow down or perhaps stall out completely.
At this point the inland flooding becomes the major concern as the storm remains blocked from moving north:
The result may be several days of locally heavy rain resulting in catastrophic flooding across the South Carolina, North Carolina and Virginia regions.
Impacts locally from Florence continue to be limited to the maritime community, boaters particularly as offshore swells increase Wednesday through the end of the week.
What's left of the rain from Florence *MAY* get pulled north by a frontal system some time early to mid next week in the Tuesday-Wednesday time frame but that will be determined by the eventual path the storm takes over the upcoming weekend.
We'll keep you updated on the future changes over the course of this week.
Thanks for reading, Mark