Looking south to an early winter storm
There has been a lot of discussion, social media activity, and news about the upcoming weekend and impacts from a winter storm. Most of the concern is out of southern New England's way. But, we need to look at some possibilities as this progresses over the next 7 days.
As of Wednesday morning, the system is still developing east of the Rockies and will continue to strengthen over the next 24-36 hours. In preparation for this wintry wave, a Winter Storm Watch is already in effect for parts of Oklahoma and northern Texas. Concerns in these locations include quick snow and ice accumulation, travel hazards, and power outages. The snow will likely amount to 1-4" with some areas measuring up to 6". Ice is clearly an issue for the roads and this system could generate up to three tenths of an inch.
By the weekend, this early December storm will have it's sights set on the southeast. Rain will range from Tennessee to Florida but snow will take over much of North Carolina and the higher elevations of Virginia.
Two of the premier global models, the American and European, have separate paths/track of this storm and also differ on it's potential impacts to southern New England. The American model (GFS) has the system quickly skipping out to the east and staying clear of our region. The European model (ECMWF) suggests the centralized area of low pressure moves farther north. In doing so, that would graze southern New England with rain on Tuesday. As it currently stands, the impacts from both scenarios are rather low, but this is something we have to keep an eye on. Any northern movement in the future track of this system could mean rain and possibly snow for us locally.
Stay with StormTeam10 for the lastest on this storm over the next few days!